Gold & Silber

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 15 / 2014

21.05 Uhr

Autsch, das war ein herber Rückschlag für die Bullen. Mit dem Bruch der 1.840er Marke im S&P 500 ist jetzt erstmal eine Korrektur angesagt. Auch der DAX bekam eins kräftig auf die Mütze, wobei im großen Bild noch nichts passiert ist. Erst wenn die 50-Wochenlinie klar unterboten wird (siehe Top 2007/08), sollte man sich ernsthafte Sorgen machen.

Top-Formation-Vergleich 2007/08 vs. heute (DAX, weekly):

topanalogie130414

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,815.69 -2.65%
  • DJIA 16,026.76 -2.35%
  • NASDAQ 3,999.73 -3.10%
  • Russell 2000 1,111.44 -3.64%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.65 -4.35%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,046.43 -2.82%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 838.76 -2.78%
  • Russell 1000 Value 928.80 -2.71%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 439.21 -.31%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,465.95 -3.33%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 891.74 -2.58%
  • Transports 7,632.69 -2.75%
  • Utilities 534.32 +.51%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 108.39 -4.32%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.88 +1.33%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,172.34 -1.23%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 975.05 -.08%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 210,397 -.92%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -82 -517
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 27.59 +28.74%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 399,787 +2.04%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,655,472 +.67%
  • Total Put/Call 1.18 +24.21%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.39 -6.08%
  • ISE Sentiment 78.0 -2.50%
  • NYSE Arms 1.55 +27.05%
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.03 +21.99%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.06 +8.56%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.82 -4.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.37 +1.33%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 10,830.0 -3.47%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.612 Trillion -.67%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow +$.949 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 28.5 -20.1%
  • AAII % Bears 34.1 +27.3%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 309.39 +1.49%
  • Crude Oil 103.74 +2.65%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 301.44 +2.84%
  • Natural Gas 4.62 +4.60%
  • Heating Oil 292.32 +.88%
  • Gold 1,319.0 +1.28%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 190.84 +1.81%
  • Copper 304.15 +.51%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 362.33 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 116.90 USD/Ton +1.04%
  • Lumber 328.30 +.18%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,526.71 -.19%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit Spreads:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.3% +30 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0666 -15.69%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 121.62 +.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -40.20 +3.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.10 -15.2 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 4/30
  • US Dollar Index 79.45 -1.20%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.22 -.31%
  • Yield Curve 227.0 -4 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.62% -10 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.201 Trillion +.18%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.0 +5.88%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 130.0 -5.11%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 36.0 -2.70%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 88.38 -.46%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 255.42 +5.49%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 88.50 +.57%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 222.77 +2.10%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 351.33 +.18%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14% unch.
  • TED Spread 19.0 -2.0 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.50 -1.0 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 68.85 +4.83%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 82.67 -.65%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 279.45 +.49%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 83.0 -1.0 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.732 Trillion +.74%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,038.10 +.40%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 316,250 -3,250
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.1% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.34% -7 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 351.0 -1.60%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -31.90 -1.9 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.7% unch.
  • Nationwide Gas $3.62/gallon +.08/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,029 -14.60%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,068.05 -.15%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 261,084 -1.55%

Top Sektoren:

  • Utilities +.5%
  • Steel -.2%
  • Foods -.3%
  • Computer Services -.4%
  • Agriculture -.6%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Disk Drives -5.0%
  • Banks -5.0%
  • Hospitals -6.0%
  • 3D Printing -7.1%
  • Education -8.2%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 14 / 2014

20.36 Uhr

Was für ein Fakemove am Freitag: Zuerst die positive Reaktion auf die Payrolls-Daten, dann bis zum Close fallende Kurse bei S&P 500, Nasdaq und Co. Gold dagegen stieg an und schloss zum Wochenschluss oberhalb der 1.300er Marke. Anbei der Intraday-Verlauf aller Futures am Freitag:

nfp040414Quelle: www.ramonte.com

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,865.09 +.40%
  • DJIA 16,412.70 +.55%
  • NASDAQ 4,127.72 -.68%
  • Russell 2000 1,153.38 +.14%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 31.0 +.81%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,599.30 +.37%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 8862.75 +.02%
  • Russell 1000 Value 949.53 +.79%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 440.57 +.28%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,516.55 +2.0%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 915.35 -.75%
  • Transports 7,570.76 +1.60%
  • Utilities 531.61 +.89%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 113.28 +4.14%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.33 +1.85%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,185.75 +.85%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 975.18 +.68%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 212,358 +.91%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 435 +436
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 21.4 -57.14%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 391,783 +.16%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,644,507 +2.49%
  • Total Put/Call .95 -3.06%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.48 +59.14%
  • ISE Sentiment 80.0 -26.61%
  • NYSE Arms 1.22 +60.52%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.96 -3.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.48 -2.34%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.04 -7.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.25 -5.39%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,219.85 -.73%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.63 Trillion -.5%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$.267 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 35.7 +14.4%
  • AAII % Bears 26.8 -6.4%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 304.84 -.12%
  • Crude Oil 101.14 -.52%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 293.13 +.07%
  • Natural Gas 4.44 -.74%
  • Heating Oil 290.79 -1.62%
  • Gold 1,303.50 +.70%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 187.44 +1.43%
  • Copper 302.25 -.58%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 362.33 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 115.70 USD/Ton +3.03%
  • Lumber 328.40 -1.82%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,529.62 +.64%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit Spreads:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.0% +10 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1384 unch.
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 121.55 +.22%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -43.80 -14.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.90 +.6 point
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 4/30
  • US Dollar Index 80.42 +.30%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.67 +.10%
  • Yield Curve 231.0 +4 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.72% unch.
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.193 Trillion +.22%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 17.0 -15.17%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 137.0 -2.84%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 37.0 -15.26%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 88.78 -4.04%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 242.12 -6.63%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 88.0 unch.
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 218.18 -7.48%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 351.24 -5.14%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14% unch.
  • TED Spread 21.0 +1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -.50 +2.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 65.67 -6.44%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 83.21 -12.35%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 278.08 -7.39%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 84.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $2.723 Trillion -.57%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,033.70 +.80%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 319,500 +1,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.41% +1 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 356.70 -1.25%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -30.0 +1.5 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.7% -10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.54/gallon +.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,235 -10.05%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,069.66 +1.83%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 265,188 +1.72%

Top Sektoren:

  • Steel +3.6%
  • Airlines +3.4%
  • Homebuilders +2.7%
  • Energy +2.4%
  • Medical Equipment +2.1%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Disk Drives -.6%
  • Software -1.3%
  • Biotech -1.7%
  • I-Banking -1.7%
  • Internet -2.6%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 12/2014

7.58 Uhr

Der Goldpreis gab in Folge der Zinserhöhungsspekulationen – ausgelöst durch die neue Fed-Chefin Yellen – kräftig nach. Der Blick auf die Entwicklung der Assetklassen seit Jahresbeginn zeigt aber, dass das gelbe Edelmetall nach wie vor mit einem Zuwachs von über 10 Prozent den ersten Platz belegt.

Performance div. Assetklassen seit Jahresbeginn (in USD):

gold220314

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,866.40 +1.37%
  • DJIA 16,302.70 +1.48%
  • NASDAQ 4,276.78 +.74%
  • Russell 2000 1,193.73 +1.04%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 31.26 +1.92%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,703.90 +1.28%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 873.76 +.75%
  • Russell 1000 Value 941.69 +1.85%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 436.91 +.46%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,500.78 +2.35%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 935.84 +2.48%
  • Transports 7,515.18 +.53%
  • Utilities 521.66 -.12%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 108.14 +2.29%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 38.90 +.66%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,182.57 -.09%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 967.32 +.44%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 209,792 +.89%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 163 +76
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 30.77 +60.0%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 384,285 -5.54%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,623,266 -4.36%
  • Total Put/Call .89 +15.58%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.03 +11.96%
  • ISE Sentiment 113.0 +41.25%
  • NYSE Arms 1.27 -16.99%
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.0 -15.82%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.34 -7.93%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.23 -4.87%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.98 -1.1%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,588.07 -.15%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.646 Trillion -1.17%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow +$1.902 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 36.8 -11.0%
  • AAII % Bears 26.2 -2.5%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 299.40 -1.15%
  • Crude Oil 99.55 +.50%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 291.67 -1.58%
  • Natural Gas 4.31 -2.18%
  • Heating Oil 292.40 -.76%
  • Gold 1,335.0 -3.51%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 182.35 +.14%
  • Copper 294.90 +.29%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 362.67 USD/Ton -2.75%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 110.70 USD/Ton +.54%
  • Lumber 335.0 -1.61%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,482.22 -1.12%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit Spreads:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.3% unch.
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1397 -7.11%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 121.26 +.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -32.60 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.20 +3.8 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 4/30
  • US Dollar Index 80.11 +.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.18 +.03%
  • Yield Curve 232.0 +1 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.74% +9 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.179 Trillion +.98%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.66 -13.44%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 141.0 +1.44%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 43.18 -6.25%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 95.86 -5.08%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 289.61 -4.91%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 88.50 +.35%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 273.99 -1.50%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 380.51 +.36%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.15% -3 basis points
  • TED Spread 18.75 -.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.5 +1.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 69.38 +3.71%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 98.0 +4.02%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 316.88 -3.57%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 88.50 -8.5 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.793 Trillion -.79%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,019.20 -.20%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 338,500 +5,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.32% -5 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 369.0 -1.15%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -29.0 -1.4 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.6% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.53/gallon +.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,621 +9.75%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,068.62 -.63%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 -8.33%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 255,951 +4.91%

Top Sektoren:

  • HMOs +6.2%
  • Steel +5.1%
  • Coal +4.6%
  • Banks +4.5%
  • Oil Service +3.9%

Flop Sektoren:

  • REITs -.3%
  • Gaming -1.3%
  • Homebuilders -1.3%
  • Biotech -2.8%
  • Gold & Silver -7.2%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

FED Watch: Zinsanhebung rückt näher…

19.36 Uhr

Die erste Zinsentscheidung unter der Leitung von Mrs. Yellen hat es in sich. Eine kurze Zusammenfassung der Notenbank-Aussagen:

a) die monatlichen Anleihekäufe werden erneut um 10 Mrd. USD auf 55 Mrd. USD zurückgefahren
b) 13 der 16 Mitglieder im FOMC erwarten eine Zinserhöhung im Jahr 2015 (10 Mitglieder sehen zum Jahresende 2015 den Leitzins bei über 1%)

Das gesamte Protokoll gibt es hier.

Hier die Reaktion aller Märkte:

fomc19032014Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 11/2014

12.24 Uhr

Mit einem Wochengewinn von knapp 3 Prozent zeigt sich Gold weiterhin von seiner starken Seite, das Widerstandsniveau bei 1.360 Dollar wurde überwunden. Grund genug, auch einen Blick auf die Minen zu werfen. Wer hier Mut hatte gegen Ende 2013 zu kaufen, sitzt bereits auf einem Gewinn von rund 35 Prozent. Diese Woche ging es für die Goldminen um 6,5% nach oben.

Goldminenindex (weekly):

gold150314Hier alle Daten zur abgelaufenen Woche:

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,841.13 -1.97%
  • DJIA 16,065.60 -2.35%
  • NASDAQ 4,245.39 -2.1%
  • Russell 2000 1,181.41 -1.82%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 30.67 -3.0%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,454.20 -1.94%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 867.23 -2.06%
  • Russell 1000 Value 924.58 -1.81%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 434.89 -.38%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,466.39 -2.96%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 913.21 -2.72%
  • Transports 7,475.79 -1.53%
  • Utilities 522.29 +1.57%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 105.72 -4.41%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 38.65 -2.84%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,183.64 -.30%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 963.10 -.28%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 207,945 -1.31%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 87 -970
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 19.23 -15.88%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 406,832 -4.46%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,697,240 +.56%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -6.10%
  • OEX Put/Call .92 -43.56%
  • ISE Sentiment 80.0 -26.61%
  • NYSE Arms 1.53 +66.3%
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.82 +26.29%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.02 +9.01%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.58 +3.13%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.09 +4.84%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,605.73 -2.15%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.678 Trillion -.08%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $1.945 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 41.3 +2.0%
  • AAII % Bears 26.8 +.7%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 302.88 -1.40%
  • Crude Oil 98.89 -3.69%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 296.40 +.56%
  • Natural Gas 4.42 -4.34%
  • Heating Oil 294.31 -1.97%
  • Gold 1,379.0 +2.95%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 182.09 -3.83%
  • Copper 295.05 -4.34%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 372.93 USD/Ton -.37%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 110.10 USD/Ton -3.59%
  • Lumber 340.50 -5.05%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,498.39 -1.21%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit Spreads:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.3% +40 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1865 +12.65%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 121.12 +.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -32.70 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.0 -22.3 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 32.0% chance of no change, 68.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/19
  • US Dollar Index 79.41 -.36%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.11 -1.59%
  • Yield Curve 231.0 -11 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.65% -14 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.138 Trillion +.23%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 26.18 -3.47%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 139.0 -2.11%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 48.0 +4.34%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 101.83 +6.0%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 304.97 +7.26%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 89.69 -1.44%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 278.15 +28.51%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 379.16 +6.67%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18% -5 basis points
  • TED Spread 19.0 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.25 -2.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 66.90 +6.32%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 94.21 +9.71%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 328.60 +5.89%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 96.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $2.815 Trillion +3.82%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,021.0 -.70%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 330,500 -6,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.37% +9 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 373.30 -2.12%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -27.6 +.9 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.5% -40 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.51/gallon +.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,468 -4.86%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,075.41 -1.05%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 244,015 -5.31%

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +5.5%
  • Utilities +1.6%
  • Restaurants +.5%
  • REITs +.1%
  • Tobacco -.4%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Coal -4.9%
  • Alt Energy -5.3%
  • Homebuilders -5.5%
  • Gaming -5.9%
  • Hospitals -6.2%

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 10/2014

14.36 Uhr

Anbei wie gewohnt alle wichtigen Daten zur abgelaufenen, ziemlich spannenden Börsenwoche. Chart der Woche ist dieses Mal der Kaffeekontrakt, der sich seit November fast verdoppelt hat. Crazy!

Kaffee (daily):

kaffee080314Und nun zu den Zahlen…

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,878.04 +1.0%
  • DJIA 16,452.70 +.80%
  • NASDAQ 4,336.22 +.65%
  • Russell 2000 1,203.32 +1.71%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 31.62 +1.48%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,839.20 +1.03%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 885.46 +.61%
  • Russell 1000 Value 941.67 +1.30%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 436.55 +.64%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,511.14 +1.54%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 938.74 +.46%
  • Transports 7,592.36 +3.32%
  • Utilities 514.20 -.88%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 110.60 -1.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.78 +.05%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,187.16 +.85%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 965.82 +.20%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 210,205 +.42%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,057 +599
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 22.86 +77.21%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 425,818 +2.25%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,687,807 +2.67%
  • Total Put/Call .82 unch.
  • OEX Put/Call 1.63 +108.97%
  • ISE Sentiment 109.0 -.91%
  • NYSE Arms .92 -14.02%
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.11 +.79%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.14 -.48%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.36 -2.65%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.67 -.91%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,883.81 +.38%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.680 Trillion -.15%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $3.113 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 40.5 +2.1%
  • AAII % Bears 26.6 +26.0%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 307.19 +1.58%
  • Crude Oil 102.58 -.18%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 297.38 -.24%
  • Natural Gas 4.62 +.39%
  • Heating Oil 301.21 -2.14%
  • Gold 1,338.20 +.72%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 189.35 -.93%
  • Copper 305.25 -4.64%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 374.33 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 114.20 USD/Ton -3.30%
  • Lumber 358.60 +2.14%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,516.71 +3.81%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 1.9% +20 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1898 +14.58%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.93 +.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -31.20 -17.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.30 +1.8 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 32.0% chance of no change, 68.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/19
  • US Dollar Index 79.72 -.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 149.49 +1.99%
  • Yield Curve 242.0 +9 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.79% +14 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.129 Trillion +.28%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.13 +.35%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 142.0 -.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 46.0 -13.2%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 96.06 -4.90%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 284.34 +7.14%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 91.0 unch.
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.0 -3.82%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 355.45 -2.60%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23% +5 basis points
  • TED Spread 19.0 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.75 +3.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 62.93 -.36%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 85.88 -.71%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 310.33 +1.47%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 96.0 +7.5 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.712 Trillion +.55%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,028.40 +1.6%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 336,500 -1,800
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.28% -9 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 381.40 +9.44%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -28.5 +.1 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.9% -10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.48/gallon +.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,480 +17.65%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,086.78 -2.55%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -7.69%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 257,710 +1.7%

 

Top Sektoren:

  • Road & Rail +3.9%
  • Banks +3.4%
  • Agriculture +3.0%
  • Tobacco +2.5%
  • Insurance +2.5%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Biotech -2.0%
  • Homebuilders -2.3%
  • Hospitals -2.6%
  • Oil Tankers -2.8%
  • Steel -4.0%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold+FDAX Update

8.27 Uhr

Kurz und knackig: Gold legt heute kräftig zu und steht damit vor dem nächsten Long-Signal, das Ziel lautet 1.430 Dollar.

Gold (daily):

gold030314Der FDAX dagegen notiert heute früh mit rund 130 Punkten im Minus, hier sehe ich weiterhin die Zone 9.400/9.500 als Support. Aktuell steht der Future bei 9.527!

FDAX (daily):

fdax030314Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 08 / 2014

8.20 Uhr

Und wieder eine Börsenwoche vorbei. Als Chart der Woche präsentiere ich die Tesla-Aktie, die von positiven Quartalszahlen profitieren konnte und damit neue Rekordhochs erreichte. Weiter so, Mr. Musk!

Schönes Wochenende 🙂

Tesla (daily):

tesla220214

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,836.25 +.35%
  • DJIA 16,103.30 +.47%
  • NASDAQ 4,263.41 +.54%
  • Russell 2000 1,164.63 +1.47%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 30.77 +1.15%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,384.30 +.57%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 867.85 +.40%
  • Russell 1000 Value 919.25 +.56%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 426.31 -.09%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,463.20 +.35%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 924.06 +.35%
  • Transports 7,308.60 +.37%
  • Utilities 523.47%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 111.55 +.14%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.48 +1.22%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,171.57 +.31%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 962.58 +.14%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 206,615 +.73%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 365 -11
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 14.29 -51.41%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 416,441+8.92%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,650,294 +.24%
  • Total Put/Call .69 -15.85%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.27 +81.43%
  • ISE Sentiment 105.0 +9.38%
  • NYSE Arms 1.33 +47.78%
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.68 +3.82%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.61 -.04%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.62 -2.43%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.82 +1.97%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,884.82 +.75%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.664 Trillion -1.81%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $4.159 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 42.2 +5.2%
  • AAII % Bears 22.8 -16.7%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 301.58 +3.08%
  • Crude Oil 102.20 +1.83%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 283.33 +2.13%
  • Natural Gas 6.13 +17.12%
  • Heating Oil 309.92 +1.94%
  • Gold 1,323.60 +1.61%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 192.21 +.78%
  • Copper 329.10 +1.25%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 374.33 USD/Ton -5.9%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 122.40 USD/Ton -.65%
  • Lumber 363.60 -.17%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,432.35 +3.47%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.5% -80 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.3088 +6.54%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.54 +.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.7 -27.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 13.60 -6.5 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 30.0% chance of no change, 70.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/19
  • US Dollar Index 80.24 +.11%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.87 +1.0%
  • Yield Curve 241.0 -2 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.73% -1 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.106 Trillion +.71%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.55 -5.94%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 143.0 -5.86%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 53.0 -1.85%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 104.66 -.48%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 244.29 -9.52%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 94.50 +1.07%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 67.50 +.75%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 355.55 +.31%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14% -3 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.0 -2.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.25 unch.
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 64.48 +.38%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 90.25 +2.22%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 318.32 -3.32%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 90.0 -10.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.716 Trillion -2.85%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,028.10 +3.7%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 338,500 +1,700
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.33% +5 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 380.90 -4.1%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -30.6 +.1 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.0% +20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.39/gallon +.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,164 +5.24%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,1133.98 -3.13%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 -7.67%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 236,625 -3.86%

Top Sektoren:

  • Coal +4.5%
  • Airlines +3.7%
  • Biotech +3.5%
  • Gold & Silver +3.3%
  • HMOs +3.2%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Hospitals -.1%
  • Restaurants -.1%
  • Internet -.3%
  • Road & Rail -.3%
  • Banks -1.0%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 07 / 2014

10.00 Uhr

Ab sofort gibt es neben den nüchternen Zahlen auch einen Chart der Woche  – dieses Mal ist es der Goldpreis, der sich deutlich nach oben setzen konnte und endlich die 1.300er Marke hinter sich ließ. Die Downtrendlinie seit Ende 2011 wurde geknackt – das ist ein Anfang! Nächster Widerstand: 1.340/60 Dollar!

Gold (daily)

gold150214

Und nun wie gewohnt die Zahlen, schönes Wochenende!

  • S&P 500 1,838.63 +2.32%
  • DJIA 16,154.33 +2.28%
  • NASDAQ 4,244.02 +2.86%
  • Russell 2000 1,149.21 +2.92%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 30.54 +2.48%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,355.70 +2.43%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 866.31 +2.38%
  • Russell 1000 Value 920.48 +2.40%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 429.19 +2.03%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,463.66 +2.78%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 922.82 +2.55%
  • Transports 7,306.69 +.89%
  • Utilities 519.51 +3.1%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 111.39 +1.48%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.43 +2.1%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,167.91 +2.1%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 961.21 +.09%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 205,116 +2.53%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 376 +390
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 29.41 +8.81%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 382,334 +6.14%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,646,415 +5.46%
  • Total Put/Call .82 +1.23%
  • OEX Put/Call .70 -16.67%
  • ISE Sentiment 96.0 -24.41%
  • NYSE Arms 1.0 +36.99%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.57 -11.25%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.80 -3.75%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.79 -.76%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.65 -7.59%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,796.86 +2.76%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.713 Trillion +.30%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$1.564 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 40.2 +43.9%
  • AAII % Bears 27.3 -24.9%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 293.24 +1.19%
  • Crude Oil 100.30 +.16%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 280.53 +2.23%
  • Natural Gas 5.21 +9.22%
  • Heating Oil 307.82 +1.05%
  • Gold 1,318.60 +4.17%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 190.73 +.55%
  • Copper 326.45 +.57%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 397.73 USD/Ton -.32%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 123.20 USD/Ton +1.90%
  • Lumber 362.40 +2.29%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,383.67 +.85%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.3% -90 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1192 +2.85%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.35 +.02%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 19.70 -3.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 20.10 +9.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 32.0% chance of no change, 68.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/19
  • US Dollar Index 80.14 -.66%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.42 -.08%
  • Yield Curve 243.0 +5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.74% +6 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.077 Trillion +.25%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.17 -8.76%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 152.0 -2.79%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 54.0 +1.89%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 105.17 -5.29%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 270.0 +3.85%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 93.50 -2.83%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 67.0 -5.57%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 354.44 -2.06%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17% unch.
  • TED Spread 22.5 +7.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.25 -.5 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 64.25 -5.89%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 88.29 -5.87%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 329.27 +2.57%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 100.0 -10.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.795 Trillion +4.07%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 991.0 +.10%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 336,800 +2,800
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.28% +5 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 397.20 -1.97%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -30.7 +2.4 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.80% -20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.34/gallon +.07/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,097 +.55%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,170.59 +.49%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 +25.0%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 246,114 -.40%

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +10.6%
  • Computer Hardware +6.8%
  • Biotech +4.7%
  • Semis +4.4%
  • Hospitals +3.7%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Restaurants +1.0%
  • Retail +.7%
  • Road & Rail +.5%
  • Homebuilders +.1%
  • Oil Tankers -.6%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Aktienmärkte: Upmove nach Plan, was nun?

18.51 Uhr

So macht es wirklich Spaß: Alle Indikatoren waren klar auf grün, also musste man nur schön die Nerven behalten und auf einen Upmove setzen. Dieser ist in den letzten Tagen absolviert worden – die Indizes stehen an den genannten Widerständen. Was nun?

Anbei ein Update der wichtigsten Charts:

FDAX (daily): Aktuell bei 9.484. Überwindung des Fibo-Widerstand bei 9.500 und 9.650 sehr wichtig, um neue Rekordhochs ins Spiel zu bringen (könnte immer noch eine rechte Schulter einer SKS werden).

fdax110214S&P 500 (daily): Aktuell bei 1.814. Solange die 1.770er nicht mehr unterboten wird, sind neue Rekordhochs wahrscheinlich…

spx 110214

Gold (daily): Ausbruch über 1.270 endlich gelungen. Nächstes Ziel 1.350! Big Picture Analyse hier.

gold110214Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

 

 

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 06 / 2014

16.16 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,797.02 +.81%
  • DJIA 15,794.0 +.61%
  • NASDAQ 4,125.85 +.54%
  • Russell 2000 1,116.55 -1.27%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.80 +1.09%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,896.0 +.58%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 846.15 +.90%
  • Russell 1000 Value 898.89 +.60%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 420.66 +.36%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,424.11 +.57%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 900.70 +1.11%
  • Transports 7,242.33 -.64%
  • Utilities 503.85 -.48%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 109.77 +1.34%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 38.62 +.15%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,144.42 -.85%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 960.38 +.33%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 198,368 -.40%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -14 -31
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 27.03 +4.7%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 360,217 +2.58%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,561,179 -1.93%
  • Total Put/Call .81 -6.90%
  • OEX Put/Call .84 +12.0%
  • ISE Sentiment 127.0 +30.61%
  • NYSE Arms .73 -51.97%
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.29 -16.89%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.78 -11.13%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.87 -7.74%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.36 -8.59%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,480.05 -.69%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.705 Trillion -.04%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $1.879 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 27.9 -13.3%
  • AAII % Bears 36.4 +11.1%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 289.77 +2.28%
  • Crude Oil 100.13 +2.60%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 274.80 +4.16%
  • Natural Gas 4.76 -2.27%
  • Heating Oil 305.10 -5.56%
  • Gold 1,266.80 +1.90%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 189.68 +1.66%
  • Copper 324.45 +1.57%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 399.0 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 120.90 USD/Ton -1.39%
  • Lumber 354.20 -.62%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,371.15 +2.78%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.2% -10 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.0907 +14.35%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.32 +.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 23.60 -25.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.80 -1.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/19
  • US Dollar Index 80.69 -.69%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.55 +1.40%
  • Yield Curve 238.0 +7 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.68% +4 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.066 Trillion +.17%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.78 -2.38%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 156.0 -2.34%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 53.0 -3.63%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 111.04 -4.37%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 260.0 unch.
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 96.22 +1.82%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.95 -.41%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 361.75 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17% +4.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 15.25 -6.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 +3.0 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 68.25 -4.80%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 93.80 -7.15%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 321.0 -5.27%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 110.0 -.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.686 Trillion +.32%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 989.70 -2.40%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 334,000 +1,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.23% -9 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 405.20 +.45%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -33.1 -1.3 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.0% -10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.27/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,092 -1.62%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,164.88 +.58%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 247,109 +.50%

Top Sektoren:

  • Restaurants +2.4%
  • Steel +2.2%
  • Agriculture +2.0%
  • Gold & Silver +1.7%
  • Airlines +1.6%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Alt Energy -2.3%
  • Oil Tankers -2.3%
  • Coal -2.7%
  • 3D Printing -3.7%
  • HMOs -3.8%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 05 / 2014

8.38 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,782.59 -.43%
  • DJIA 15,698.80 -1.13%
  • NASDAQ 4,103.87 -.59%
  • Russell 2000 1,130.88 -1.16%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.48 +.79%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,787.80 -.40%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 838.59 -.32%
  • Russell 1000 Value 893.55 -.37%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 419.15 -1.66%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,416.05 +.31%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 890.81 -.95%
  • Transports 7,289.18 +.42%
  • Utilities 506.26 +2.91%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 108.32 -.50%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 38.56 -1.47%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,154.20 -1.47%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 957.26 +.25%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 198,396 -.41%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 17 -134
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 25.81 -44.86%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 351,146 +3.26%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,591,971 -1.32%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -3.33%
  • OEX Put/Call .75 +10.29%
  • ISE Sentiment 98.0 +24.05%
  • NYSE Arms 1.52 -13.14%
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.41 +1.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.35 +3.45%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.44 +1.81%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.21 +4.29%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,559.36 -2.64%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.706 Trillion -.07%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $2.45 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 32.2 -15.6%
  • AAII % Bears 32.8 +37.9%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 283.31 +.27%
  • Crude Oil 97.49 +.61%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 263.14 -1.57%
  • Natural Gas 4.94 -4.13%
  • Heating Oil 299.71 -5.30%
  • Gold 1,239.80 -2.29%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 186.59 -2.71%
  • Copper 319.70 -2.07%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 399.0 USD/Ton +4.18%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 122.60 USD/Ton -1.05%
  • Lumber 353.80 -1.17%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,334.07 +.79%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.3% +10 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1246 -5.82%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.28 -.11%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 49.0 -13.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.50 +5.8 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 3/19
  • US Dollar Index 81.31 +1.03%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.58 -1.66%
  • Yield Curve 231.0 -7 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.64% -8 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.059 Trillion +.11%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 30.50 +9.55%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 160.0 +3.61%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 55.0 +3.13%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 116.12 -2.39%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 260.0 +5.05%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 94.50 +2.72%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.24 -3.07%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 361.75 +9.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.13% unch.
  • TED Spread 21.50 +2.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.0 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.75 -3.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 71.75 -.38%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 101.03 -2.88%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 338.87 +.43%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 110.50 +.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.678 Trillion +.65%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,014.0 -.40%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 333,000 +1,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.32% -7 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 403.40 -.17%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -31.8 -.8 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.10% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.28/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,127 -9.55%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,158.16 +2.61%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -20.0%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 245,883 -8.06%

Top Sektoren:

  • Homebuilders +6.4%
  • Gaming +4.9%
  • Utilities +2.9%
  • Road & Rail +1.9%
  • Steel +1.5%

Flop Sektoren:

  • I-Banks -2.1%
  • Gold & Silver -2.1%
  • Airlines -3.3%
  • Tobacco -4.5%
  • Education -5.9

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 04/2014

17.27 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,790.29 -3.01%
  • DJIA 15,879.10 -3.28%
  • NASDAQ 4,128.17 -2.15%
  • Russell 2000 1,144.13 -2.47%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.25 -4.32%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,863.93 -2.94%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 841.31 -2.67%
  • Russell 1000 Value 896.93 -3.30%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 426.24 -2.40%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,411.60 -4.54%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 899.39 -2.20%
  • Transports 7,258.72 -2.65%
  • Utilities 491.96 -.15%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 108.87 -4.51%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.14 -2.64%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,171.40 -.22%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 954.91 -.08%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 199,214 -.72%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 151 -403
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 46.81 +22.41%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 340,049 +3.88%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,613,293 -.60%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +28.57%
  • OEX Put/Call .68 -27.66%
  • ISE Sentiment 79.0 -40.15%
  • NYSE Arms 1.75 +12.90%
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.14 +44.77%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.37 +10.14%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.34 +7.34%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.78 +13.99%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,872.55 -.45%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.707 Trillion +.24%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $4.237 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 38.1 -2.2%
  • AAII % Bears 23.8 +10.6%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 282.54 +1.48%
  • Crude Oil 96.64 +2.64%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 266.32 +2.67%
  • Natural Gas 5.18 +18.61%
  • Heating Oil 313.74 +4.84%
  • Gold 1,264.30 +1.78%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 191.79 -1.80%
  • Copper 327.15 -1.98%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 383.0 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 124.30 USD/Ton -2.36%
  • Lumber 357.40 -3.07%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,323.65 -.46%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.2% +50 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1295 -4.63%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.41 +.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 62.60 -4.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 6.70 +1.9 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 32.0% chance of no change, 68.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 1/29
  • US Dollar Index 80.46 -.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.96 -.94%
  • Yield Curve 238.0 -7 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.72% -10 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.055 Trillion +.64%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.85 +1.25%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 154.0 +2.42%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 53.33 +7.34%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 118.97 +11.1%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 247.50 +13.01%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 92.0 -1.08%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 73.50 +7.30%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 352.75 +19.25 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.13% -12.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 19.0 -1.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.0 +1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.0 -2.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 71.98 +11.31%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 104.02 +21.66%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 337.41 +15.55%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 110.0 +2.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.660 Trillion +.87%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,018.50 -1.70%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 331,500 -3,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3%unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.39% -2 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 404.10 +4.7%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -31.0 unch.
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.0% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.29/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,271 -9.08%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,128.73 +1.18%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 +2.5%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 267,428 +13.32%

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +3.2%
  • Computer Hardware +1.1%
  • Utilities -.2%
  • Tobacco -.6%
  • HMOs -.7%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Agriculture -4.6%
  • Insurance -5.8%
  • Alt Energy -6.3%
  • Steel -8.0%
  • Gaming -8.6%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!


 

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 03/2014

10.54 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,838.70 -.20%
  • DJIA 16,458.60 +.13%
  • NASDAQ 4,197.58 +.55%
  • Russell 2000 1,168.43 +.34%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 30.44 -.62%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,360.50 -.13%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 861.56 +.03%
  • Russell 1000 Value 923.23 -.37%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 433.24 -.86%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,471.11 -.05%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 918.22 +2.11%
  • Transports 7,427.46 -.52%
  • Utilities 492.70 -.24%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 114.01 +2.35%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 40.06 +.14%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,173.95 +.49%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 955.63 +.34%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 200,668 +.38%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 554 -94
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 38.24 unch.
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 327,351 -1.11%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,623,027 +.20%
  • Total Put/Call .70 -6.67%
  • OEX Put/Call .94 -44.05%
  • ISE Sentiment 132.0 +24.53%
  • NYSE Arms 1.33 +11.76%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.44 +2.47%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.56 +5.61%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.81 +1.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.64 +1.89%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,926.38 -.25%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.700 Trillion -.52%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$3.362 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 38.99 -10.6%
  • AAII % Bears 21.49 -14.04%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 278.41 +1.08%
  • Crude Oil 94.37 +1.59%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 262.04 -2.19%
  • Natural Gas 4.33 +6.13%
  • Heating Oil 302.37 +2.52%
  • Gold 1,251.90 +.27%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 195.30 +2.39%
  • Copper 334.45 +.02%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 383.0 USD/Ton +1.06%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 127.30 USD/Ton -2.60%
  • Lumber 369.80 +.46%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,331.62 -.15%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.7% +120 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0006 +107.9%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.33 +.09%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 66.60 +1.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 4.80 +5.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 32.0% chance of no change, 68.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 1/29
  • US Dollar Index 81.18 +.69%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.34 -.80%
  • Yield Curve 245.0 -4 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.82% -4 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $4.029 Trillion +1.09%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.50 -1.24%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 151.0 -2.72%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 49.68 -.63%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 107.10 +.09%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 219.0 +1.39%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 93.0 -6.1%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 68.50 +2.24%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 333.50 +5.5 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25% -2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.5 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.25 +.5 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 64.66 +.33%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 85.50 -.58%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 291.98 +4.29%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 108.0 -2.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.645 Trillion -.18%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,035.60 -2.20%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 335,000 -14,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% +10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.41% -10 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 386.10 +11.9%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -31.0 -2.6 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.90% -70 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.30/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,398 -18.05%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,115.55 +1.60%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 +16.7%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 235,987 +26.3%

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +6.0%
  • Biotech +3.8%
  • Coal +3.6%
  • Networking +3.3%
  • Computer Hardware +2.9%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Restaurants -2.0%
  • Energy -2.1%
  • Road & Rail -2.2%
  • Hombuilders -2.7%
  • Retail -5.4%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold-Silber-Index mit antizyklischer Chance?

10.42 Uhr

Gold- und Silberminen gehörten im vergangenen Jahr zu den absoluten Schlusslichtern am Aktienmarkt. Im Schnitt verloren die Titel aus diesem Segment die Hälfte an Wert. Seit Jahresbeginn zeigen die stark gebeutelten Minen wieder erstmals relative Stärke. Auch wenn das noch kein Grund ist zum Feiern ist – der Blick auf den Langfristchart zeigt, dass hier für antizyklisch handelnde Akteure eine interessante Kaufgelegenheit anstehen könnte.

Anbei der Chart von KimbleChartingSolutions, der den Gold- und Silberminenindex seit 1983. Der Momentum-Indikator zeigt, dass der Index so stark überverkauft ist wie seit 30 Jahren nicht mehr!

XAU (monthly):

xau_180114Quelle: KimbleChartingSolutions#

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold: 1.270 = Long-Trigger

9.48 Uhr

Eine gute Figur machte der Goldpreis am Freitag. Es fehlen nur rund 20 Dollar und der Weg für einen größeren Upmove bis in den Bereich 1.350 und später 1.400 wäre frei!

(Langfristige Analyse vom 20. Dezember 2013)

Gold (daily):

gold130114Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

 

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 02/2014

23.00 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,842.37 +.60%
  • DJIA 16,437.0 -.20%
  • NASDAQ 4,174.66 +1.04%
  • Russell 2000 1,164.53 +.73%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 30.63 +1.2%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,384.90 +.72%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 861.28 +.75%
  • Russell 1000 Value 926.66 +.63%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 436.99 unch.
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,471.91 +.05%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 899.23 +.85%
  • Transports 7,466.03 +1.89%
  • Utilities 493.87 +2.59%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 111.39 +4.65%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 40.0 -.87%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,1668.23 +.24%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 952.40 +.06%

Sentiment/Marktstruktur:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 198,598 +.75%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 460 +317
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 45.95 +152.75%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 331,011 -6.83%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,619,796 +.24%
  • Total Put/Call .75 -16.7%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.68 +75.0%
  • ISE Sentiment 106.0 -6.19%
  • NYSE Arms 1.19 -21.71%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.14 -11.77%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.82 -5.52%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.73 -10.1%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.47 -9.70%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,956.74 -1.44%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.715 Trillion -.15%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $3.315 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 43.6 +1.2%
  • AAII % Bears 25.0 -14.6%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 275.42 -.40%
  • Crude Oil 92.72 -1.69%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 266.91 +.84%
  • Natural Gas 4.05 -6.31%
  • Heating Oil 294.07 -.33%
  • Gold 1,246.90 +.77%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 190.75 -.99%
  • Copper 334.15 -.33%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 379.0 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 130.70 USD/Ton -3.2%
  • Lumber 368.60 +1.77%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,332.30 -.86%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.5% +70 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .3398 unch.
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.22 +.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 65.50 +12.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.9 -.5 point
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 1/29
  • US Dollar Index 80.62 -.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.48 -.07%
  • Yield Curve 249.0 -11 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.86% -13 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.986 Trillion +.13%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.84 -2.09%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 155.0 -.78%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 50.0 -7.41%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 107.0 -.37%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 216.0 -2.48%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 99.0 -5.71%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 7.0 -1.47%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 328.0 +4.75 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.27% +2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.5 +3.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.75 +1.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 64.45 +2.12%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 86.0 +3.06%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 279.96 +2.18%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 110.0 +17.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.65 Trillion -.07%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,059.30 +1.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 349,000 -8,300
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.51% -2 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 345.10 +2.59%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -28.40 +.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.60% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.31/gallon -.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,706 -19.3%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,098.37 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -14.3%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 186,878 +8.40%

Top Sektoren:

  • Biotech +5.5%
  • Gaming +3.8%
  • Medical Equipment +3.6%
  • Hospitals +2.9%
  • Airlines +2.8%

Flop Sektoren:

  • I-Banks -.2%
  • Telecom -.6%
  • Retail -1.2%
  • Steel -2.3%
  • Coal -4.4%

 

Woche in Zahlen: KW 51/2013

19:09 Uhr

  • S&P 500 1,818.32 +2.4%
  • DJIA 16,221.1 +3.0%
  • NASDAQ 4,104.74 +2.6%
  • Russell 2000 1,146.47 +3.6%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.96 +3.6%
  • Wilshire 5000 19,095.50 +2.5%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 848.93 +2.5%
  • Russell 1000 Value 912.96 +2.3%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 438.85 +1.4%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,442.09 +2.9%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 887.08 +3.5%
  • Transports 7,282.26 +2.8%
  • Utilities 488.34 +2.2%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 104.47 +4.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 40.68 -1.1%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,153.54 +1.0%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 957.14 +.52%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 193,204 +1.32%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 46 +424
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 18.75 -16.96%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 346,700 -.66%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,629,694 -1.91%
  • Total Put/Call .74 -12.94%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.0 +9.9%
  • ISE Sentiment 192.0 +47.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.32 +8.2%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.79 -12.5%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.42 -3.61%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.35 -3.6%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.13 +.6%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 12,012.21 +1.9%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.675 Trillion -1.27%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$5.682 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 47.5 +15.0%
  • AAII % Bears 25.1 +.5%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 283.13 +1.23%
  • Crude Oil 99.20 +2.82%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 279.01 +6.3%
  • Natural Gas 4.43 +.9%
  • Heating Oil 307.78 +3.38%
  • Gold 1,202.40 -2.92%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 192.61 +.82%
  • Copper 330.45 -.01%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 377.67 USD/Ton +4.71%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 132.70 USD/Ton -2.43%
  • Lumber 373.60 +2.47%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,377.55 +.81%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.1% -70 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .2053 -8.4%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 120.12 -.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.0 +14.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.0 +3.0 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 38.0% chance of no change, 62.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 1/29
  • US Dollar Index 80.55 +.43%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.42 +.30%
  • Yield Curve 251.0 -3 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.89% +3 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.965 Trillion +.36%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.21 -3.56%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 163.0 -.61%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 60.33 +8.83%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 101.63 -.40%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 223.17 -4.1%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 100.0 -.83%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 61.46 +11.75%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 331.5 -4.25 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.16% unch.
  • TED Spread 19.25 +1.0 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 -2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.25 -3.0 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 65.24 -6.5%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 87.32 -10.1%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 267.61 -3.5%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 113.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $2.640 Trillion +.14%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,085.30 +.40%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 343,500 +14,700
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% +10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.47% +5 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 374.60 -5.45%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -29.40 +1.5 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.80% +20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.22/gallon -.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,134 -8.7%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,046.78 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 268,161 +2.1%

Top Sektoren:

  • Computer Hardware +5.2%
  • Homebuilders +5.2%
  • Alt Energy +4.2%
  • Defense +3.9%
  • Internet +3.9%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Airlines +1.1%
  • Coal +.8%
  • Steel +.7%
  • Hospitals -.8%
  • Gold & Silver -2.1%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold: Weihnachtsgeschenk für die Bullen?

12:50 Uhr

Am 25. November schrieb ich an dieser Stelle, dass keine Panik bei Gold angebracht sei und ein erstes positives Signal bei Überwinden der 1.250/70er Zone entstünde. Siehe da, nach einem schönen Test der Sommertiefs zog der Goldpreis in den letzten Tagen an und notiert unmittelbar vor dieser entscheidenden Zone.

Die Bodenbildung zieht sich nun schon seit Monaten hin, in Euro gerechnet wurde das Tief vom Juli 2010 getestet und die Stimmung ist im Keller – ich wäre nicht daher überrascht, wenn es in den nächsten Tagen und Wochen zu einem kräftigen 100-Dollar-Move bis auf 1.360 Dollar kommt!

Gold (daily):

gold111213Gold in Euro (daily):

goldeuro_111213

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold in Euro: Wird der Support halten?!

18:10 Uhr

Zeit für ein Update für alle, die in Euro kalkulieren. Nachdem Anfang dieser Woche das Juni-Tief bei 905 Euro kurz unterschritten wurde, notiert das gelbe Edelmetall aktuell bei 921 Euro. Das Tief vom Juli 2010, das ebenfalls als Support fungiert, liegt bei 885 Euro.

Angesichts der bullishen Divergenz beim MACD-Histogramm könnte es in den nächsten Tagen und Wochen (zur Abwechslung mal) nach oben gehen. Bin gespannt 😉

Schönes Wochenende!

Gold in Euro (daily):

goldeur291113

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold: Keine Panik!

18:10 Uhr

Der Goldpreis präsentierte sich in den letzten Tagen und Wochen weiterhin von seiner schwachen Seite. Auch die Goldminen fallen weiter und weiter (Newmont Mining heute -4%). Das heutige Low beim Goldpreis lag bei 1.226 Dollar – wie könnte es nun weiter gehen?

Der Blick auf den Chart zeigt, dass ein Rückfall bis zum Sommertief bei rund 1.180 Dollar definitiv nicht auszuschließen ist. Die gute Nachricht: es gibt bereits positive Divergenzen beim MACD-Histogramm und auch die Stimmung ist auf dem Tiefpunkt – egal wo man hinhört, überall scheinen die Bullen wie ausgestorben.

Um ein erstes Stabilisierungssignal von charttechnischer Seite zu bekommen, bedarf es der Rückeroberung der 1.250/70er Zone, bis dahin besteht kein Bedarf, long zu gehen. Long-Positionen auf diesem Level aufzulösen macht aber aktuell ebenfalls wenig Sinn!

Gold (daily):

gold_251113Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 47/2013

7:31 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,804.76 +.37%
  • DJIA 16,o64.77 +.65%
  • NASDAQ 3,991.64 +.14%
  • Russell 2000 1,124.92 +.78%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.29 +.21%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,912.74 +.28%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 909.65 +.04%
  • Russell 1000 Value 909.65 +.45%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 443.99 -.46%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,418.29 +.11%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 858.80 -.89%
  • Transports 7,199.37 -.16%
  • Utilities 495.31 -2.29%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 104.53 +.32%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.90 +.39%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,141.21 -.12%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 950.43 +.05%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 194,426 -.21%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 149 -359
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 31.03 -20.70%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 313,160 +2.49%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,620,640 -6.64%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +25.33%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.39 +183.67%
  • ISE Sentiment 144.0 -5.88%
  • NYSE Arms .81 +3.85%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.26 +.57%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.45 -4.86%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.07 +3.33%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.59 +.23%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 12,053.21 +.42%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.663 Trillion -.20%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $5.407 Billion n/a
  • AAII % Bulls 34.4 -12.3%
  • AAII % Bears 29.5 +7.3%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 275.21 +.32%
  • Crude Oil 94.77 +1.16%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 272.05 +2.40%
  • Natural Gas 3.78 +3.84%
  • Heating Oil 303.43 +3.12%
  • Gold 1,242.10 -3.61%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 187.68 +.73%
  • Copper 322.05 +1.50%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 360.67 USD/Ton +5.81%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 136.50 USD/Ton -.22%
  • Lumber 359.60 -1.05%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,386.88 +.98%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.40% +20 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0170 +203.5%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 119.60 +.17%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.70 -.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.30 -1.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 12/18
  • US Dollar Index 80.65 -.18%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.14 +1.52%
  • Yield Curve 246.0 +5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.74% +4 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.864 Trillion n/a
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.88 +18.88%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 191.0 -3.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 62.50 -1.37%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 101.73 -.68%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 230.0 +4.44%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 108.16 +.92%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 665.0 -2.92%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 353.0 -10 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20% +1 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.0 -.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.25 +1.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 69.64 -1.15%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 101.56 -5.11%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 288.70 +1.46%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 103.0 +1.0 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.587 Trillion -1.30%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,054.10 -1.20%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 338,500 -5,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.22% -13 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 451.10 -2.30%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -34.60 -.7 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.40% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.24/gallon +.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,499 -1.19%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,043.77 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 +7.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 266,643 +.52%

Top Sektoren:

  • Biotech +4.0%
  • HMOs +3.7%
  • I-Banks +3.3%
  • Defense +2.3%
  • Banks +2.3%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Utilities -2.3%
  • Oil Service -2.4%
  • Alt Energy -4.3%
  • Coal -4.4%
  • Gold & Silver -6.7%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 46/2013

07:56 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,798.18 +1.56%
  • DJIA 15,961.70 +1.27%
  • NASDAQ 3,985.96 +1.70%
  • Russell 2000 1,116.20 +1.47%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.23 +1.92%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,859.10 +3.04%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 836.69 +1.89%
  • Russell 1000 Value 905.62 +1.40%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 446.03 +1.67%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,416.70 +2.06%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 866.50 +2.19%
  • Transports 7,211.04 +2.76%
  • Utilities 506.91 +.89%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 104.20 -.95%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.74 +.85%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,142.58 +.24%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 949.95 +.23%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 195,768 +1.2%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 508+400
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 39.13 +95.65%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 305,566 +2.02%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,735,933 -.05%
  • Total Put/Call .75 -9.64%
  • OEX Put/Call .49 -63.43%
  • ISE Sentiment 153.0 +50.0%
  • NYSE Arms .78 -48.34%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.19 -12.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.41 -18.31%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.79 -4.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.57 -8.93%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 12,003.16 +2.73%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.669 Trillion -.12%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flows $5.407 Billion +26.78%
  • AAII % Bulls 39.2 -13.8%
  • AAII % Bears 27.5 +25.9%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 274.34 +.43%
  • Crude Oil 93.84 -.54%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 265.77 +4.3%
  • Natural Gas 3.66 +3.12%
  • Heating Oil 293.89 +2.53%
  • Gold 1,287.40 -.12%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 186.32 -1.68%
  • Copper 317.10 -2.71%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 340.87 USD/Ton +1.55%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 136.80 USD/Ton +.66%
  • Lumber 363.50 -3.12%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,373.50 -1.23%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.20% +40 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0994 -4.5%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 119.40 +.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.90 -12.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.60 unch.
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 12/18
  • US Dollar Index 80.85 -.44%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.02 +2.13%
  • Yield Curve 241.0 -3 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.70% -5 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.864 Trillion +1.46%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.13 -18.48%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 197.0 +.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 63.36 -4.69%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 104.06 -6.22%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 225.50 -4.45%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 108.55 -1.31%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 685.0 +.21%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 363.0 -3 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19% +1 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.25 -1.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.0 -.25 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 70.50 -3.43%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 107.04 +.75%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 284.55 -5.14%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 102.0 -7.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.621 Trillion -1.18%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,066.90 -.30%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 344,000 -4,300
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.35% +19 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 461.70 -1.77%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -33.90 +4.0 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.30% -10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.20/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,507 -4.68%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,043.77 +2.98%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 265,259 +.38%

Top Sektoren:

  • Homebuilders +4.6%
  • Biotech +3.9%
  • HMOs +3.1%
  • Computer Services +2.9%
  • Retail +2.9%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Networking +.7%
  • Banks +.5%
  • Gold & Silver +.1%
  • Steel -1.2%
  • Coal -2.2%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 45/2013

19:25 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,770.61 +.51%
  • DJIA 15,761.70 +.94%
  • NASDAQ 3,919.23 -.o7%
  • Russell 2000 1,099.97 +.39%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 28.68 +.14%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,544.30 +.35%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 821.16 -.03%
  • Russell 1000 Value 893.10 +.70%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 438.69 +.35%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,388.08 +.25%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 847.93 +.32%
  • Transports 7,017.34 -.43%
  • Utilities 502.46 -.43%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 105.2 -.76%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.39 -2.97%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,139.86 -.01%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 947.74 +.64%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 193,038 -.95%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 108 -92
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 20.0 -17.15%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 299,514 -.89%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,736,874 -2.11%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -9.78%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.34 +35.35%
  • ISE Sentiment 102.0 -8.93%
  • NYSE Arms .48 -28.35%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.90 -2.86%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.53 -1.89%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.10 +.25%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.41 +9.53%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,684.07 -.84%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.672 Trillion +.15%
  • AAII % Bulls 45.5 +1.1%
  • AAII % Bears 21.8 +1.5%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 274.39 -.21%
  • Crude Oil 94.60 -.01%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 255.34 +.24%
  • Natural Gas 3.56 +1.31%
  • Heating Oil 287.16 -.36%
  • Gold 1,284.60 -2.35%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 189.50 -2.30%
  • Copper 325.40 -1.35%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 135.90 USD/Ton +.44%
  • Lumber 374.70 +1.30%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,390.66 +.12%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 1.80% +10 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1075 unch.
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 119.32 +.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 19.40 +14.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.60 -3.80 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 12/18
  • US Dollar Index 81.30 +.72%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.10 -.48%
  • Yield Curve 244.0 +13 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.75% +13 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.808 Trillion +.22%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 30.83 +2.06%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 197.0 +4.0%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 66.48 -3.43%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 110.96 +3.52%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 236.0 +1.17%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 110.0 -1.79%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 683.53 -1.55%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 366.0 +2 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18% +4 basis points
  • TED Spread 19.0 -1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 +1.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 72.95 -1.93%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 106.25 -8.88%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 299.97 +8.03%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 109.0 -1.0 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.654 Trillion -1.08%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,070.30 -1.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 348,300 -8,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.16% +6 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 449.60 -7.05%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -37.90 -.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.40% +20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.21/gallon -.06/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,593 +5.92%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,013.52 +.19%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 +7.69%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 264,264 +1.16%

Top Sektoren:

  • Software +3.3%
  • Networking +2.7%
  • Banks +2.5%
  • I-Banks +2.3%
  • Defense +2.0%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Papers -2.3%
  • Disk Drives -3.1%
  • Hospitals -4.2%
  • Homebuilders -4.2%
  • REITs -4.3%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 44/2013

06:47 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,761.64 +.11%
  • DJIA 15,615.50 +.29%
  • NASDAQ 3,922.04 -.54%
  • Russell 2000 1,095.67 -2.03%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 28.64 unch.
  • Wilshire 5000 18,489.03 -.18%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 821.38 +.04%
  • Russell 1000 Value 886.85 -.02%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 437.16 +1.14%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,384.67 +.37%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 845.27 -.10%
  • Transports 7,047.77 +.55%
  • Utilities 504.65 -.38%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 106.0 -.42%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.66 +.08%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,139.94 -.04%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 941.74 -.05%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 194,884 -.51%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 200 -432
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 24.14 +49.7%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 299,196 -1.23%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,785,295 -2.17%
  • Total Put/Call .92 unch.
  • OEX Put/Call .99 +312.50%
  • ISE Sentiment 112.0 +24.44%
  • NYSE Arms .67 -13.92%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.28 +1.45%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 40.29 +8.28%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.12 +7.27%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.60 +7.23%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,782.48 -.04%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.669 Trillion +.04%
  • AAII % Bulls 45.0 -8.6%
  • AAII % Bears 21.5 +22.2%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 274.96 -2.69%
  • Crude Oil 94.61 -3.35%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 254.19 -1.20%
  • Natural Gas 3.51 -5.47%
  • Heating Oil 288.23 -1.03%
  • Gold 1,350.50 -2.73%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 193.97 +1.33%
  • Copper 329.85 +1.01%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 135.30 USD/Ton +1.50%
  • Lumber 368.10 +1.85%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,388.20 -2.92%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 1.70% -30 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1075 -.74%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 119.18 +.23%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.30 -11.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.80 -3.20 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 12/18
  • US Dollar Index 80.72 +1.90%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.86 -.97%
  • Yield Curve 231.0 +10 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.62% +11 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.800 Trillion +.12%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 30.21 -19.37%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 189.0 +4.83%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 68.38 -.89%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 103.55 +3.33%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 233.26 +8.31%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 112.0 +3.22%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 694.31 +1.36%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 364.0 -8 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14% -5 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.25 -.5 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.25 -.5 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 74.25 +3.20%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 116.60 -6.99%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 277.66 +6.11%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 110.0 -2.5 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.684 Trillion +1.18%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,081.50 +1.80%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 356,300 +8,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.10% -3 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 483.70 +6.42%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -37.60 -1.5 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.20% +20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.27/gallon -.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,504 -11.94%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,011.55 +3.64%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.50 +18.18%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 261,231 -1.31%

Top Sektoren:

  • Steel +2.3%
  • Restaurants +1.9%
  • Semis +1.8%
  • HMOs +1.8%
  • Hospitals +1.3%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Biotech -2.5%
  • Papers -3.6%
  • Homebuilders -4.9%
  • Education -5.6%
  • Gold & Silver -7.7%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Nichts Neues von der FED!

 

 

 

19:16 Uhr

Das FED-Meeting ist vorbei und wirklich Neues gibt es nicht zu berichten. Die Marktreaktion: Gold und Euro leicht schwächer, Aktien mehr oder weniger unverändert. Hier das aktuelle Bild..

Ein interessanter Bericht siehe hier.

fed_301013

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Nichts Neues von der FED!

 

 

 

19:16 Uhr

Das FED-Meeting ist vorbei und wirklich Neues gibt es nicht zu berichten. Die Marktreaktion: Gold und Euro leicht schwächer, Aktien mehr oder weniger unverändert. Hier das aktuelle Bild..

Ein interessanter Bericht siehe hier.

fed_301013

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 43/2013

18:51 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,759.77 +.88%
  • DJIA 15,570.66 +1.1%
  • NASDAQ 3,943.36 +.74%
  • Russell 2000 1,118.34 +.32%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 28.64 +.31%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,522.14 +.77%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 821.09 +1.09%
  • Russell 1000 Value 887.03 +.53%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,055.68 n/a
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,379.53 +2.0%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 846.07 -.12%
  • Transports 7,009.05 +2.61%
  • Utilities 506.57 +2.12%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 107.54 +2.13%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.62 -1.25%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,142.04 +.34%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 943.35 +.08%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 195,890 +1.46%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 632 -356
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 16.13 +22.57%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 315,438 -1.66%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,856,649 -1.30%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +35.29%
  • OEX Put/Call .24 -84.42%
  • ISE Sentiment 90.0 +11.11%
  • NYSE Arms .79 -36.29%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.09 +.38%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.21 +3.16%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.58 -.66%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.02 -4.30%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,787.50 +.85%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.668 Trillion +2.09%
  • AAII % Bulls 49.2 +6.3%
  • AAII % Bears 17.6 -29.5%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 282.56 -1.52%
  • Crude Oil 97.85 -2.98%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 258.71 -2.90%
  • Natural Gas 3.71 -1.54%
  • Heating Oil 290.97 -4.1%
  • Gold 1,352.50 +2.73%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 191.42 -.76%
  • Copper 326.90 -.65%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.67 USD/Ton -.06%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 133.30 USD/Ton -.82%
  • Lumber 361.40 +2.2%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,429.96 -1.15%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.0% -80 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1482 +9.85%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.91 +.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.0 -6.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.60 +4.0 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 79.19 -.52%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.20 +.51%
  • Yield Curve 221.0 -5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.51% -7 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.796 Trillion +.68%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.47 +10.15%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 180.0 -1.09%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 69.0 -3.25%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 100.21 -2.65%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 215.37 +3.79%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 108.50 -.30%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 685.0 +1.32%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 372.0 +9 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19% +1 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.75 -1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 +2.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 72.08 +1.64%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 125.37 +4.1%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 261.66 +1.77%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 112.50 -.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.652 Trillion +3.92%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,061.90 +2.70%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 348,300 +11,800
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.13% -15 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 454.50 -.57%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -36.10 -2.0 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.0% -20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.32/gallon -.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,708 -12.86%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,010.07 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 264,687 +1.48%

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +8.2%
  • Homebuilders +4.1%
  • Airlines +2.9%
  • Biotech +2.4%
  • Utilities +2.1%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Oil Service -1.8%
  • Semis -2.0%
  • Alt Energy -2.7%
  • Networking -5.6%
  • Disk Drives -8.9%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 43/2013

18:51 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,759.77 +.88%
  • DJIA 15,570.66 +1.1%
  • NASDAQ 3,943.36 +.74%
  • Russell 2000 1,118.34 +.32%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 28.64 +.31%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,522.14 +.77%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 821.09 +1.09%
  • Russell 1000 Value 887.03 +.53%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,055.68 n/a
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,379.53 +2.0%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 846.07 -.12%
  • Transports 7,009.05 +2.61%
  • Utilities 506.57 +2.12%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 107.54 +2.13%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.62 -1.25%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,142.04 +.34%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 943.35 +.08%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 195,890 +1.46%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 632 -356
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 16.13 +22.57%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 315,438 -1.66%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,856,649 -1.30%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +35.29%
  • OEX Put/Call .24 -84.42%
  • ISE Sentiment 90.0 +11.11%
  • NYSE Arms .79 -36.29%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.09 +.38%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.21 +3.16%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.58 -.66%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.02 -4.30%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,787.50 +.85%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.668 Trillion +2.09%
  • AAII % Bulls 49.2 +6.3%
  • AAII % Bears 17.6 -29.5%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 282.56 -1.52%
  • Crude Oil 97.85 -2.98%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 258.71 -2.90%
  • Natural Gas 3.71 -1.54%
  • Heating Oil 290.97 -4.1%
  • Gold 1,352.50 +2.73%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 191.42 -.76%
  • Copper 326.90 -.65%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.67 USD/Ton -.06%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 133.30 USD/Ton -.82%
  • Lumber 361.40 +2.2%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,429.96 -1.15%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.0% -80 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1482 +9.85%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.91 +.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.0 -6.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.60 +4.0 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 79.19 -.52%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.20 +.51%
  • Yield Curve 221.0 -5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.51% -7 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.796 Trillion +.68%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.47 +10.15%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 180.0 -1.09%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 69.0 -3.25%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 100.21 -2.65%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 215.37 +3.79%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 108.50 -.30%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 685.0 +1.32%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 372.0 +9 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19% +1 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.75 -1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 +2.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 72.08 +1.64%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 125.37 +4.1%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 261.66 +1.77%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 112.50 -.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.652 Trillion +3.92%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,061.90 +2.70%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 348,300 +11,800
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.13% -15 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 454.50 -.57%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -36.10 -2.0 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.0% -20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.32/gallon -.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,708 -12.86%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,010.07 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 264,687 +1.48%

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +8.2%
  • Homebuilders +4.1%
  • Airlines +2.9%
  • Biotech +2.4%
  • Utilities +2.1%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Oil Service -1.8%
  • Semis -2.0%
  • Alt Energy -2.7%
  • Networking -5.6%
  • Disk Drives -8.9%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold: SKS-Formation nimmt weiter Form an

 

 

 

08:49 Uhr

Der Goldpreis konnte in den letzten Tagen dank des schwachen US-Dollars vom Unterstützungsbereich 1.250/70 lösen (inkl. positiver Divergenzen!) und nach oben absetzen. Aktuell notiert die Unze bei rund 1.340 Dollar. Die rechte Schulter der mehrfach besprochenen SKS-Formation ist jetzt da und das nächste Ziel lautet 1.430 Dollar.

Was jetzt  noch fehlt ist natürlich der Bruch der Nackenlinie, die die SKS erst zum Leben erweckt. Im Bereich 1.430 wird sich als das Schicksal für die nächsten Monate, gar Jahre entscheiden! Packen die Bullen diesen Widerstand, hätten wir jedenfalls eine wunderschöne, abgeschlossene Bodenformation und der Weg zu neuen Highs wäre frei.

Gold (daily):

gold241013

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 42/2013

17:00 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,744.50 +2.43%
  • DJIA 15,399.60 +1.07%
  • NASDAQ 3,914.27 +3.23%
  • Russell 2000 1,114.77 +2.81%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 28.55 +3.59%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,379.90 +3.24%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 812.23 +2.65%
  • Russell 1000 Value 882.36 +2.29%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,055.68 +2.24%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,352.53 +2.15%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 847.08 +2.59%
  • Transports 6,830.45 +2.74%
  • Utilities 496.05 +.89%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 107.54 +2.13%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 43.16 +1.65%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,133.44 +1.66%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 941.26 +.73%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 194,370 +2.09%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 988 +652
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 13.16 -68.98%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 320,758 n/a
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,881,081 n/a
  • Total Put/Call .68 -29.17%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.67 +27.48%
  • ISE Sentiment 104.0 +28.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.24 +175.50%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.04 -20.87%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 36.07 -22.72%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.63 -8.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.38 -8.32%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,688.55 +2.04%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.613 Trillion -1.96%
  • AAII % Bulls 46.3 +12.0%
  • AAII % Bears 24.9 -25.8%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 286.92 -.16%
  • Crude Oil 100.81 -.91%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 267.32 +.39%
  • Natural Gas 3.76 -.71%
  • Heating Oil 303.54 +.07%
  • Gold 1,314.60 +3.30%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 192.88 +1.05%
  • Copper 329.90 +.79%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.87 USD/Ton +.06%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 134.40 USD/Ton +.98%
  • Lumber 353.50 +6.16%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,446.40 +1.55%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.8% -100 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1800 +9.87%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.84 unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 23.20 -12.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.60 -5.0 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 79.65 -.94%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.57 +.27%
  • Yield Curve 226.0 -7 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.58% -11 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.770 Trillion +1.47%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.02 +.80%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 182.0 -4.75%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 71.32 -1.37%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 102.95 -6.10%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 207.50 -6.10%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 108.83 -4.53%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 676.08 +.16%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 363.0 -7 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18% -3 basis points
  • TED Spread 22.0 +3.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.50 +1.0 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 70.91 -8.25%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 120.44 -5.92%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 257.13 -6.77%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 113.0 -1 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.552 Trillion -1.88%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,033.70 -3.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 336,500 +11,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.28% +5 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 457.10 +.26%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -34.10 -4.4 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.20% -50 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.36/gallon +.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,901 -4.23%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,010.07 -2.85%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.50 +10.0%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 260,839 -2.15%

 

Top Sektoren:

  • Gold & Silver +6.2%
  • Internet +5.5%
  • Oil Tankers +4.2%
  • Airlines +3.9%
  • Gaming +3.9%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Utilities +.9%
  • Networking +.3%
  • Road & Rail -.6%
  • HMOs -3.3%
  • Computer Services -3.8%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Hoffnung für die Goldminen?

 

 

 

21:34 Uhr

Wieder mal ein wundervoller Chart von KimbleChartingSolutions..

Gold & Goldminen langfristig:

goldminen_15102013

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Hoffnung für die Goldminen?

 

 

 

21:34 Uhr

Wieder mal ein wundervoller Chart von KimbleChartingSolutions..

Gold & Goldminen langfristig:

goldminen_15102013

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 41/2013

06:25 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,703.20 +.75%
  • DJIA 15,237.10 +1.09%
  • NASDAQ 3,791.87 -.42%
  • Russell 2000 1,084.31 +.56%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 27.56 +.45%
  • Wilshire 5000 17,929.70 +.57%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 791.26 +.11%
  • Russell 1000 Value 826.60 +1.10%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,032.53 +1.58%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,324.11 +.23%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 825.74 -.48%
  • Transports 6,648.41 +.58%
  • Utilities 491.68 +2.43%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 105.30 +2.24%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.46 +1.57%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,122.47 -.08%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 935.90 +.29%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 190,387 -.04%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 208 -47
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 42.42 +112.1%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 320,758 n/a
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,881,081 n/a
  • Total Put/Call .96 +10.34%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.31 +50.57%
  • ISE Sentiment 81.0 -11.96%
  • NYSE Arms 1.24 +67.57%
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.72 -6.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.24 -11.04%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.31 -3.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.14 -6.35%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,455.09 +.26%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.666 Trillion -.74%
  • AAII % Bulls 41.3 +9.2%
  • AAII % Bears 33.6 +11.7%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 286.6 +.06%
  • Crude Oil 102.02 -1.59%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 266.81 +2.23%
  • Natural Gas 3.78 +7.55%
  • Heating Oil 303.49 +1.10%
  • Gold 1,268.20 -3.28%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 190.88 +.86%
  • Copper 326.90 -1.06%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 133.10 USD/Ton +1.29%
  • Lumber 331.20 -1.87%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,422.76 -.49%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.8% -100 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.3118 -5.94%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.84 +.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.40 -9.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.60 -5.4 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 42.0% chance of no change, 58.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 80.36 +.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.19 +1.02%
  • Yield Curve 233.0 +2 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.69% +5 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.715 Trillion +.31%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.74 -17.17%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 191.0 +7.50%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 72.31 -12.53%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 109.64 -5.10%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 220.99 -6.75%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 114.0 -4.88%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 675.0 +1.02%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 370.0 -9 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21% unch.
  • TED Spread 18.75 -3.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.50 -1.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 77.29 -3.07%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 128.01 -5.81%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 275.81 -3.58%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 114.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $2.600 Trillion +1.15%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,065.70 +1.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 325,000 +20,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.23% +1 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 455.90 +1.27%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -29.7 -.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.70% -20 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.34/gallon -.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,985 -4.75%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,039.72 -4.67%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 25.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 266,580 -1.21%

Top Sektoren:

  • Coal +3.3%
  • Tobacco +3.0%
  • REITs +2.9%
  • Utilities +2.4%
  • Medical Equipment +2.2%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Internet -1.6%
  • Retail -1.7%
  • Networking -1.9%
  • Gold & Silver -4.0%
  • Biotech -5.4%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen KW 40/2013

09:00 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,690.50 -.07%
  • DJIA 15,072.50 -1.22%
  • NASDAQ 3,807.75 +.69%
  • Russell 2000 1,078.25 +.38%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 27.44 +1.09%
  • Wilshire 5000 17,827.33 +.10%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 790.37 +.13%
  • Russell 1000 Value 853.31 -.04%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,016.45 -.50%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,321.05 +.19%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 829.70 +.44%
  • Transports 6,609.75 +.18%
  • Utilities 480.0 -.45%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 102.99 +1.40%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.80 +.87%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,124.75 +.42%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 934.12 -.03%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 190,458 -.20%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 255 +55
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 20.0 -17.15%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 320,758 n/a
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,881,081 n/a
  • Total Put/Call .87 -7.45%
  • OEX Put/Call .87 -92.01%
  • ISE Sentiment 92.0 +19.48%
  • NYSE Arms .74 -40.80%
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.74 +8.28%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.73 +4.89%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.59 -.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.77 -3.17%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,425.66 +.86%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.685 Trillion -.32%
  • AAII % Bulls 37.8 +5.0%
  • AAII % Bears 30.1 -1.8%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 286.45 -.18%
  • Crude Oil 103.84 +1.0%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 260.76 -1.49%
  • Natural Gas 3.51 -2.26%
  • Heating Oil 290.90 +.39%
  • Gold 1,309.90 -1.95%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 189.25 -1.40%
  • Copper 330.10 -.48%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 335.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 131.40 USD/Ton -.38%
  • Lumber 336.80 -1.87%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,429.73 +.09%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.8% -10 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0976 -5.43%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.69 +.04%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.70 -1.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .80 -3.4 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 40.0% chance of no change, 60.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 80.12 -.21%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.73 -.54%
  • Yield Curve 231.0 +2 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.64% +2 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.704 Trillion +.35%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.74 +31.4%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 178.0 +2.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 82.66 -2.64%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 115.53 -3.07%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 237.0 -4.24%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 119.84 -.58%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 668.16 +2.79%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 379.0 +1 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21% +3 basis points
  • TED Spread 22.25 -1.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.0 +.5 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 79.73 -1.02%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 135.91 -6.42%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 286.05 -2.69%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 114.0 +4.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.568 Trillion +.58%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,054.70 -.90%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 305,000 -3,000
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% +10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.22% -10 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 450.20 -.38%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -29.4 -1.3 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.90% unch.
  • Nationwide Gas $3.37/gallon -.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,084 +1.86%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,090.62 -1.30%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 25.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 269,853 +2.65%

Top Sektoren:

  • Hospitals +5.4%
  • Coal +5.0%
  • Alt Energy +3.8%
  • HMOs +3.1%
  • Networking +2.8%

Flop Sektoren:

  • I-Banks -1.3%
  • REITs -1.6%
  • Defense -1.7%
  • Homebuilders -2.5%
  • Gold & Silver -3.6%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 38/2013

 

 

 

16:23 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

S&P 500 1,709.91 +1.3%

  • DJIA 15,451.09 +.49%
  • NASDAQ 3,774.72 +1.41%
  • Russell 2000 1,072.83 +1.79%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 27.37 +.66%
  • Wilshire 5000 17,956.9 +1.34%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 794.43 +1.65%
  • Russell 1000 Value 863.70 +1.0%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,039.96 +.92%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,330.45 +1.80%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 829.63 +1.44%
  • Transports 6,692.26 +2.59%
  • Utilities 485.33 +1.77%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 103.37 +.84%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.0 +2.68%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,124.59 +.43%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 933.63 +.16%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 191,323 +1.31%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 955 +661
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 38.24 -13.09%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 326,831 -2.39%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,926,402 +1.30%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +40.0%
  • OEX Put/Call .78 -25.71%
  • ISE Sentiment 85.0 -19.81%
  • NYSE Arms 1.59 +67.36%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.12 -7.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.23 +2.41%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.95 -2.51%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.83 -5.30%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,653.20 +2.49%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.658 Trillion -.05%
  • AAII % Bulls 45.1 -.9%
  • AAII % Bears 29.7 +20.8%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 287.44 -1.23%
  • Crude Oil 104.75 -3.55%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 268.42 -2.88%
  • Natural Gas 3.69 +.30%
  • Heating Oil 300.42 -3.62%
  • Gold 1,332.60 +.48%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 192.02 +2.80%
  • Copper 332.05 +2.95%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 342.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 131.80 USD/Ton -2.0%
  • Lumber 354.20 +2.88%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,417.64 -1.52%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.5% +40 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0888 -12.6%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.72 +.19%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.40 -5.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.10 -1.5 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 40.0% chance of no change, 60.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 80.43 -1.34%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.15 +1.74%
  • Yield Curve 240.0 -5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.73% -15 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.679 Trillion +1.7%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.38 +1.23%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 172.0 -2.71%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 86.91 -3.43%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 98.19 -14.83%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 205.16 -7.38%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 117.0 -8.59%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 650.0 -.41%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 365.0 -7 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24% +13 basis points
  • TED Spread 24.0 -.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.25 +2.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 78.95 +1.75%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 140.36 +1.38%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 262.38 -14.22%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 111.50 -8.5 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.556 Trillion -.81%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,046.70 +1.10%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 314,800 -6,450
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.1% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.50% -7 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 428.20 +11.22%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -29.40 +2.7 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.0% -60 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.49/gallon -.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,904 +16.38%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,104.96 -1.82%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 22.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 265,873 +16.15%

Top Sektoren:

  • Alt Energy +3.8%
  • Construction +3.3%
  • Airlines +3.1%
  • Homebuilders +3.0%
  • Gaming +2.8%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Restaurants +.1%
  • Papers unch.
  • Banks -.1%
  • Disk Drives -1.1%
  • HMOs -3.9%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 38/2013

 

 

 

16:23 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

S&P 500 1,709.91 +1.3%

  • DJIA 15,451.09 +.49%
  • NASDAQ 3,774.72 +1.41%
  • Russell 2000 1,072.83 +1.79%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 27.37 +.66%
  • Wilshire 5000 17,956.9 +1.34%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 794.43 +1.65%
  • Russell 1000 Value 863.70 +1.0%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,039.96 +.92%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,330.45 +1.80%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 829.63 +1.44%
  • Transports 6,692.26 +2.59%
  • Utilities 485.33 +1.77%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 103.37 +.84%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 42.0 +2.68%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,124.59 +.43%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 933.63 +.16%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 191,323 +1.31%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 955 +661
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 38.24 -13.09%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 326,831 -2.39%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,926,402 +1.30%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +40.0%
  • OEX Put/Call .78 -25.71%
  • ISE Sentiment 85.0 -19.81%
  • NYSE Arms 1.59 +67.36%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.12 -7.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.23 +2.41%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.95 -2.51%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.83 -5.30%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,653.20 +2.49%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.658 Trillion -.05%
  • AAII % Bulls 45.1 -.9%
  • AAII % Bears 29.7 +20.8%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 287.44 -1.23%
  • Crude Oil 104.75 -3.55%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 268.42 -2.88%
  • Natural Gas 3.69 +.30%
  • Heating Oil 300.42 -3.62%
  • Gold 1,332.60 +.48%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 192.02 +2.80%
  • Copper 332.05 +2.95%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 342.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 131.80 USD/Ton -2.0%
  • Lumber 354.20 +2.88%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,417.64 -1.52%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.5% +40 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0888 -12.6%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.72 +.19%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.40 -5.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.10 -1.5 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 40.0% chance of no change, 60.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 10/30
  • US Dollar Index 80.43 -1.34%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.15 +1.74%
  • Yield Curve 240.0 -5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.73% -15 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.679 Trillion +1.7%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.38 +1.23%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 172.0 -2.71%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 86.91 -3.43%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 98.19 -14.83%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 205.16 -7.38%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 117.0 -8.59%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 650.0 -.41%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 365.0 -7 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24% +13 basis points
  • TED Spread 24.0 -.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.25 +2.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 78.95 +1.75%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 140.36 +1.38%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 262.38 -14.22%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 111.50 -8.5 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.556 Trillion -.81%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,046.70 +1.10%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 314,800 -6,450
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.1% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.50% -7 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 428.20 +11.22%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -29.40 +2.7 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.0% -60 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.49/gallon -.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,904 +16.38%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,104.96 -1.82%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 22.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 265,873 +16.15%

Top Sektoren:

  • Alt Energy +3.8%
  • Construction +3.3%
  • Airlines +3.1%
  • Homebuilders +3.0%
  • Gaming +2.8%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Restaurants +.1%
  • Papers unch.
  • Banks -.1%
  • Disk Drives -1.1%
  • HMOs -3.9%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold: Rechte Schulter “in the making”

 

 

 

21:40 Uhr

Wie beim letzten Beitrag ausführlich dargestellt, spricht bei Gold alles für eine inverste SKS-Formation. Die rechte Schulter ist jetzt in Arbeit – danke, liebe FED!

Gold (daily):

gold180913_

Wer sich für Goldminen interessiert, sollte mal einen Blick auf den Bluechip Newmont Mining werfen 😉 Aktuel fast 8% im Plus..

Newmont Mining (daily):

gold180913

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Chart des Tages: Die Macht der Fibos

 

 

 

11:33 Uhr

Wieder einmal ein sauguter Chart  von KimbleChartingSolutions, den ich hier präsentieren möchte. Es geht hierbei um die Macht der Fibonacci-Retracements- und Projections. Ein Bild sagt mehr als 1000 Worte..

goldfibos_170913

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 37/2013

 

 

 

18:27 Uhr

Aktienindizes:

  • S&P 500 1,687.99 +1.98%
  • DJIA 15,376.0 +3.04%
  • NASDAQ 3,722.18 +1.70%
  • Russell 2000 1,053.98 +2.37%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 27.19 +2.72%
  • Value Line Geometric(broad market) n/a
  • Russell 1000 Growth 781.57 +2.23%
  • Russell 1000 Value 855.16 +1.86%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 1,030.52 +2.70%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,306.94 +3.69%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 817.86 +2.50%
  • Transports 6,523.42 +2.39%
  • Utilities 476.89 +.74%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 102.51 +2.28%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 40.90 +3.22%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,117.12 +.35%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 933.27 -.02%

Sentiment/Marktbreite:

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 188,854 +1.37%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 294 +219
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 44.0 -.99%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 334,825 -1.33%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,901,643 +2.42%
  • Total Put/Call .75 -14.77%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.05 -3.67%
  • ISE Sentiment 106.0 +9.28%
  • NYSE Arms .95 +7.95%
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.16 -10.66%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.12 -8.63%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 9.18 -4.57%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.38 -8.87%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,369.80 +2.01%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.659 Trillion +.76%
  • AAII % Bulls 45.5 +28.1%
  • AAII % Bears 24.6 -21.3%

Rohstoffe:

  • CRB Index 291.02 -.79%
  • Crude Oil 108.21 -1.83%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 276.96 -2.53%
  • Natural Gas 3.68 +4.08%
  • Heating Oil 311.37 -1.48%
  • Gold 1,308.40 -5.80%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 186.79 -1.99%
  • Copper 320.35 -1.72%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 342.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 134.50 USD/Ton +.30%
  • Lumber 344.0 +2.99%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,439.57 +.31%

Konjunktur/Zinsen/Credit:

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.1% +20 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1069 +12.64%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 118.49 +.30%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 49.70 -6.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 3.60 +18.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 36.0% chance of no change, 64.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 9/18
  • US Dollar Index 81.45 -.85%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.79 +1.17%
  • Yield Curve 245.0 -3 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.88% -5 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.619 Trillion +.23%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.11 +.50%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 177.0 -2.68%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 90.0 -1.10%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 115.29 -5.88%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 221.50 -11.40%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 128.0 -12.52%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 652.70 -8.56%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 372.0 +3 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.11% +3 basis points
  • TED Spread 24.25 +.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.50 +1.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 77.59 -5.22%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 138.45 -5.20%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 305.88 -7.35%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 120.0 +5 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.577 Trillion +.46%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,035.0 +2.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 321,250 -7,250
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% -10 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.57% unch.
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 385.0 -13.48%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -32.10 +.2 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.60% +70 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.54/gallon -.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,636 +21.0%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,112.19 -1.18%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 22.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 228,899 -11.85%

Top Sektoren:

  • Airlines +7.2%
  • Homebuilders +5.9%
  • Gaming +5.3%
  • Disk Drives +4.5%
  • Computer Services +4.3%

Flop Sektoren:

  • Utilities +.7%
  • Computer Hardware +.6%
  • Oil Tankers +.2%
  • Coal +.1%
  • Gold & Silver -7.1%

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold: Nichts wie raus oder nur die rechte Schulter?

 

 

 

17:50 Uhr

Seit der Entspannung rund um das Thema Syrien kennt der Goldpeis  nur eine Richtung: nach unten. Vom High bei 1.433 Dollar ging es bereits 100 Dollar gen Süden. Aktuell notiert das Edelmetall bei 1.329 Dollar, hier verläuft zum einen das 61er Fibo-Retracement des letzten Upswings sowie eine Unterstützungszone, die Halt geben sollte. Ich setze darauf, dass aktuell die rechte Schulter einer inversen SKS-Formation ausgebildetet wird – mal sehen, ob der Markt das Ganze auch so sieht. Im übergeordneten Bild gilt die 1.270er Zone als wichtiges Level, das nicht verletzt werden darf!

Gold (daily):

gold120913Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Folge niemals einer Investmentbank ;-)

 

 

 

17:08 Uhr

Die meisten Blog-Leser werden sich an die Gold-Verkaufsempfehlung von Goldman Sachs erinnern. Die Jungs von ZeroHedge haben hier ein paar hochinteressante Details entdeckt. Ich denke der Chart sagt alles: Die Kunden verkaufen panisch, GS greift kräftig zu 😉

Wer mehr erfahren möchte, dem sei dieser Artikel empfohlen.

gs

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Die Woche in Zahlen: KW 35/2013

 

 

 

11:05 Uhr

Indices

  • S&P 500 1,632.97 -1.84%
  • DJIA 14,810.30 -1.33%
  • NASDAQ 3,589.86 -1.86%
  • Russell 2000 1,010.90 -2.63%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 25.62 -2.99%
  • Value Line Geometric(broad market) 429.51 -2.54%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 752.94 -1.57%
  • Russell 1000 Value 829.06 -2.09%
  • Morgan Stanley Consumer 992.17 -1.95%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,230.09 -2.10%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 772.38 -1.83%
  • Transports 6,249.88 -3.55%
  • Utilities 477.87 -1.05%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 96.29 -4.02%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 38.44 -.55%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,105.92 -.75%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 933.48 -.41%

Sentiment/Internals

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 185,682 -.12%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -28 -43
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 43.24 +103.87%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 345,130 -.07%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,855,284 +1.09%
  • Total Put/Call 1.12 +41.77%
  • OEX Put/Call 2.40 -45.08%
  • ISE Sentiment 84.0 -22.2%
  • NYSE Arms 1.10 +20.88%
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.01 +21.67%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.59 +12.04%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.13 +3.47%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.74 +9.51%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 11,198.56 -.93%
  • Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.644 Trillion +.24%
  • AAII % Bulls 33.5 +15.8%
  • AAII % Bears 30.8 -28.3%

Futures Spot Prices

  • CRB Index 291.16 +.13%
  • Crude Oil 107.65 +1.25%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 289.01 +.73%
  • Natural Gas 3.58 +2.90%
  • Heating Oil 313.66 +1.20%
  • Gold 1,395.80 -.06%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 188.72 -2.97%
  • Copper 323.30 -3.58%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 338.53 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 137.70 USD/Ton -.65%
  • Lumber 318.90 +1.82%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,434.54 +1.14%

Economy

  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.2% -30 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.0822 +10.07%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 117.89 +.14%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 30.80 +2.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.90 +6.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 40.0% chance of no change, 60.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 9/18
  • US Dollar Index 82.09 +.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.31 -1.80%
  • Yield Curve 238.0 -6 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.78% -3 basis points
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $3.602 Trillion -.03%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.22 -.22%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 184.0 +3.16%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 87.50 +2.34%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 131.01 +2.10%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 255.0 +3.87%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 140.67 +6.57%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 770.33 -1.87%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 385.0 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.11% -3 basis points
  • TED Spread 23.75 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.0 -2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 -.25 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 83.33 +4.61%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 150.21 +6.86%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 349.55 +8.55%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 115.0 +10 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $2.537 Trillion -.05%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,020.10 unch.
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 331,300 +800
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.3% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.51% -7 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 439.20 -2.49%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -31.70 -2.9 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.70% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.59/gallon +.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,132 -2.24%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,126.0 -.62%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 20.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 257,080 +.24%

Leading Sectors

  • Biotech +.3%
  • Energy -.2%
  • Utilities -1.0%
  • Telecom -1.2%
  • Gaming -1.3%

Lagging Sectors

  • Networking -3.8%
  • Steel -4.1%
  • Banks -4.2%
  • Coal -5.1%
  • Gold & Silver -7.1%

 

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Gold steuert 1.400er Marke an!

 

 

 

16:56 Uhr

Kurz und bündig: es läuft weiter nach Plan – sprich: nach oben. Die Kanaltrendlinie wurde heute geknackt, sodass die 1.420er zügig erreicht werden sollte.

Gold (daily):

gold230813Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Silber: Wiederholt sich die Vergangenheit?

 

 

 

07:29 Uhr

Anbei zwei spannende Langfrist-Charts von KimbleChartingSolutions für alle Silber-Fans da draußen 😉

CK-130819-Fig-1

CK-130819-Fig-2

Quelle: KimbleChartingSolutions.com

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!

Silber: Wiederholt sich die Vergangenheit?

 

 

 

07:29 Uhr

Anbei zwei spannende Langfrist-Charts von KimbleChartingSolutions für alle Silber-Fans da draußen 😉

CK-130819-Fig-1

CK-130819-Fig-2

Quelle: KimbleChartingSolutions.com

Dieser Beitrag spiegelt lediglich die Meinung des Autors wider. Er stellt in keiner Weise eine Anlageberatung oder Handelsaufforderung dar. Eine Haftung für Aktivitäten, die aus diesem Beitrag abgeleitet werden, wird in keinem Fall übernommen!